picture is the department of energy. their inventory, if you look at at the tall stocks for the five-year seasonal average, is sitting right around 370 million barrels. that's their inventory. the five-year seasonal average is down about 325, so we're 10% over. remember last week we had a build of 8.5 million barrels. this week we're expecting a build of two million. if you see in about an hour when oil prices and the d.o.e. releases their stocks, you'll probably see oil take that next leg lower. >> let's switch gears and talk about gold as well as silver, for that matter. silver has been handily outpacing gold this year, so i'm wondering if traders are seeing the silver trade having more upside. granted, it's a less liquid market. but maybe going into the final quarter of the year, that's the bet that's in place. >> the silver trade has rallied about 20% in the last two months. it is technically an industrial metal. it has gotten a boost because of the qe hype. traders are thinking that that's the cheap metal to get into, but with prices up at 33.5, i think that they're a little bit